2022年外贸做什么制品比较好?
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;">详细</span>选什么<span style="color: black;">制品</span>要结合<span style="color: black;">日前</span>的背景来看。就<span style="color: black;">例如</span>汽车<span style="color: black;">制品</span>,<span style="color: black;">因为</span>人们出行时长的大幅减少以及全世界爆发的芯片荒使其一度跌幅达到了70%。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">那汽车<span style="color: black;">关联</span>周边肯定是外贸人<span style="color: black;">必须</span>避开的<span style="color: black;">制品</span>。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">今年年底奥密克戎毒株<span style="color: black;">起始</span>在<span style="color: black;">全世界</span>蔓延,其传染性更强。<span style="color: black;">能够</span>预见的是,<strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">全世界</span>将会采取更加严厉的封闭<span style="color: black;">办法</span></strong>。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">毕竟一向支持“群体免疫”的韩国和英国都<span style="color: black;">起始</span>学习我国的经验了。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">咱们</span><span style="color: black;">日前</span>的<span style="color: black;">周期</span>和2020年疫情逐步蔓延的那个时间段差不多,<span style="color: black;">因此</span>就利用2020年第二季度的数据来类比预测<span style="color: black;">将来</span>的外贸局势和<span style="color: black;">制品</span>趋势。</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><strong style="color: blue;">当然,外贸人<span style="color: black;">详细</span>还要看各国的疫情防控<span style="color: black;">状况</span>来判断局势。</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">1、</span>东南亚:<span style="color: black;">潜能</span>巨大需<span style="color: black;">注重</span></strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">就在疫情<span style="color: black;">起始</span>传播到各国的时候,各国纷纷锁国、工厂关闭,<span style="color: black;">全世界</span>商品贸易创下历史最大单季跌幅。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">有意思的是,<span style="color: black;">一样</span>的疫情背景下各个地区贸易受到的影响差异很大。</p>
<div style="color: black; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 10px;"><img src="https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-qvj2lq49k0/e2c2970b3e574652882c6e04085caae4~noop.image?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1723996908&x-signature=UUn1iDVzTUmfLFqlMEba0rbV1CA%3D" style="width: 50%; margin-bottom: 20px;">
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">2012<span style="color: black;">第1</span>季度~2020第二季度<span style="color: black;">区别</span>区域进出口贸易数据</p>
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<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">在世贸组织去年10月份的一份报告中<span style="color: black;">表示</span>,在2020年的第二季度欧美地区进出口贸易数据呈断崖式下跌,欧洲(橙色)和北美(蓝色)进口下降了19.3和14.5%。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">而亚洲地区(灰色)进口只受到7.1%的影响。<span style="color: black;">同期</span>这份报告<span style="color: black;">亦</span>指出近年来<strong style="color: blue;">亚洲地区的进出口增速远高于欧美</strong>。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">亦</span><span style="color: black;">便是</span>说亚洲地区,尤其是东南亚地区是外贸人近年来最稳定、最适合发展的地区。</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;">尤其</span>是2021年,我国同东盟进出口总额达4.28万亿元,同比增长21.1%,占外贸总值的14.4%,<strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">作为</span>我国的<span style="color: black;">第1</span>大贸易伙伴</strong>。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">东南亚市场<span style="color: black;">日前</span><span style="color: black;">来讲</span>仍<span style="color: black;">处在</span>原始期,劳动力<span style="color: black;">低价</span>。青年人口占了总人口的70%,<span style="color: black;">亦</span>是互联网用户增长最快的市场。</p>
<div style="color: black; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 10px;"><img src="https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-qvj2lq49k0/60362b8cfaf542cc8b98ec15b5bd35fa~noop.image?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1723996908&x-signature=OB%2B5EXnTGT6DDA9mOLlCmL2%2Bhak%3D" style="width: 50%; margin-bottom: 20px;">
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">东南亚青年人口占了总人口的70%,消费<span style="color: black;">潜能</span>巨大</p>
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<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">东南亚比邻中国,<span style="color: black;">持有</span>众多华侨。<span style="color: black;">类似</span>的文化,<span style="color: black;">类似</span>的审美,产生了<span style="color: black;">类似</span>的需求,我国不少行业纷纷出口东南亚扎了根。就如同上个世纪的日本出口中国<span style="color: black;">同样</span>,<strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">咱们</span>的<span style="color: black;">制品</span>在当地是有一定的认可度的。</strong><span style="color: black;">因此呢</span>,<span style="color: black;">倘若</span>欧美等传统强势市场<span style="color: black;">欠好</span>做,<span style="color: black;">能够</span><span style="color: black;">思虑</span>换个思路,进军东南亚。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">2、</span>避开:低附加值<span style="color: black;">制品</span></strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">说到东南亚,还有一个真诚而又“老土”的<span style="color: black;">意见</span>:<span style="color: black;">尽可能</span>向高端<span style="color: black;">制品</span>转型。老生常谈的微笑曲线利润率<span style="color: black;">这儿</span>就<span style="color: black;">再也不</span>多说了,<span style="color: black;">日前</span>有两项宏观政策<span style="color: black;">亦</span>在推动<span style="color: black;">咱们</span>向中高端发展:</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">1.RCEP还有不到10天就正式生效了,庞大的东亚+东南亚+澳新市场将打破关税壁垒。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">什么意思呢,这个范围内,大约90%的商品将实施0关税,这其中有不少<span style="color: black;">本来</span>是40%、50%关税的<span style="color: black;">制品</span>,虽然有些是逐年下调,但带来冲击肯定会越来越<span style="color: black;">显著</span>。这既是机遇<span style="color: black;">亦</span>是挑战,<span style="color: black;">咱们</span>低端的<span style="color: black;">制品</span>将直面东南亚的冲击,而高端<span style="color: black;">制品</span>出口却会减少不少阻力。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;">因此</span>,<strong style="color: blue;">鞋帽、服装</strong>等劳动密集型产业,<span style="color: black;">意见</span>外贸人<span style="color: black;">尽可能</span>避开。前段时间东南亚停工,<span style="color: black;">非常多</span>国外的订单转移到我国,众多<span style="color: black;">制品</span>的进口<span style="color: black;">亦</span>将暂时依赖<span style="color: black;">咱们</span>国家。但随着东南亚的逐步复工,<span style="color: black;">咱们</span>又重新面临竞争。<span style="color: black;">倘若</span>有这些行业的<span style="color: black;">关联</span>从业人员,应该深有体会。</p>
<div style="color: black; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 10px;"><img src="https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-qvj2lq49k0/58ded903d19e4123926412d5c16b46ee~noop.image?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1723996908&x-signature=oC85Z2ZnBzxNj6eeBA8FBnsA5K8%3D" style="width: 50%; margin-bottom: 20px;">
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">RCEP重要<span style="color: black;">道理</span>非凡</p>
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<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">2.这点,在我国商务部上个月印发的《“十四五”对外贸易高质量发展规划》中<span style="color: black;">亦</span><span style="color: black;">说到</span>了。《规划》提出:展望2035年,贸易结构更加优化,进出口更趋平衡,<strong style="color: blue;">创新能力大幅<span style="color: black;">提高</span></strong>,绿色低碳转型取得积极<span style="color: black;">发展</span>,安全<span style="color: black;">保证</span>能力<span style="color: black;">明显</span><span style="color: black;">加强</span>,<strong style="color: blue;">参与国际经济合作和竞争新<span style="color: black;">优良</span><span style="color: black;">显著</span><span style="color: black;">加强</span></strong>。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><strong style="color: blue;"><span style="color: black;">3、</span>欧美:医疗、日用品、电子<span style="color: black;">制品</span></strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><strong style="color: blue;">再说说欧美地区,虽然进口量在疫情<span style="color: black;">时期</span><span style="color: black;">持续</span>下滑,<span style="color: black;">然则</span>我国的医疗器械、家居和<span style="color: black;">平常</span>必需品却供<span style="color: black;">不该</span>求。</strong></p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;">原由</span>是这些国家工人人数暴跌,本地生产力不足<span style="color: black;">况且</span>发达国家<span style="color: black;">已然</span>完<span style="color: black;">成为了</span>传统制造业的转移,<span style="color: black;">引起</span>过于依赖进口。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;">另一</span>说一下,这些地区卡车司机的减少<span style="color: black;">引起</span>了港口堵塞,物流成本<span style="color: black;">亦</span>急剧<span style="color: black;">增多</span>。在选品的时候<span style="color: black;">尽可能</span>选<strong style="color: blue;">物流简单、成本低</strong>的<span style="color: black;">制品</span>,避免物流麻烦。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;">况且</span>这些国家政策比较多变,要留意一下。就<span style="color: black;">例如</span>前几天传<span style="color: black;">信息</span>说,美国要对我国的医疗器械企业实施制裁,<span style="color: black;">关联</span>上市<span style="color: black;">机构</span>股价下跌,以后的生意不<span style="color: black;">必定</span><span style="color: black;">那样</span>顺利了。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">世贸组织发布了2020第二季度以<span style="color: black;">制品</span><span style="color: black;">归类</span>的世界贸易趋势表。</p>
<div style="color: black; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 10px;"><img src="https://p3-sign.toutiaoimg.com/tos-cn-i-qvj2lq49k0/ccf182bc7f4d44dfbc2ab5bb3f980aeb~noop.image?_iz=58558&from=article.pc_detail&lk3s=953192f4&x-expires=1723996908&x-signature=m0JetlqKpF8BBb4%2BpHZNipd9GmY%3D" style="width: 50%; margin-bottom: 20px;">
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;">重视</span>右侧:纺织品、计算机、集成电路、医疗<span style="color: black;">药物</span></p>
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<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;">因为</span>全世界的疫情居家政策,电子<span style="color: black;">制品</span><span style="color: black;">关联</span>的电脑和集成电路、生活必需的纺织品和医疗<span style="color: black;">制品</span>是为数不多正增长的<span style="color: black;">制品</span>。由此可见<strong style="color: blue;">居家类电子<span style="color: black;">制品</span>和基本生理需求的<span style="color: black;">制品</span></strong>在疫情<span style="color: black;">时期</span>有着不错的增长势头。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><span style="color: black;">另一</span>,无论是<span style="color: black;">选取</span>什么<span style="color: black;">制品</span>,都要注重宣传。疫情<span style="color: black;">引起</span>了人们不愿去线下购物,线上宣传<span style="color: black;">因此呢</span><span style="color: black;">显出</span>格外重要。<span style="color: black;">倘若</span>你的<span style="color: black;">制品</span>在网上能有让人眼前一亮的特质,容易<span style="color: black;">诱发</span>病毒式流量传播,就很容易抢占<span style="color: black;">乃至</span>在市场中取得绝对地位。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">珍岛T云-外贸版基于SaaS平台构架,结合大数据技术、人工智能、搜索算法、社交营销等前沿技术将完整的数字营销环境进行工具化、场景化、流程化整合。从海外建站到社媒营销,再到后期的数据资产管理,珍岛T云-外贸版<span style="color: black;">供给</span>了外贸数字营销的专业一站式服务。</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;"><strong style="color: blue;">总结</strong></p><strong style="color: blue;">东南亚是近年来外贸人<span style="color: black;">必须</span><span style="color: black;">注重</span>的区域</strong><strong style="color: blue;">低端产业竞争激烈,<span style="color: black;">意见</span>外贸人向高端<span style="color: black;">制品</span>转型</strong><strong style="color: blue;">欧美医疗、日用品和电子<span style="color: black;">制品</span>需求激增</strong><strong style="color: blue;">居家电子<span style="color: black;">制品</span>和基本生理需求<span style="color: black;">制品</span>在疫情<span style="color: black;">时期</span>增势良好</strong><strong style="color: blue;">与<span style="color: black;">制品</span>宣传相结合,<span style="color: black;">选取</span>容易推广的<span style="color: black;">制品</span></strong>
<p style="font-size: 16px; color: black; line-height: 40px; text-align: left; margin-bottom: 15px;">本文由@珍岛集团特邀评论员撰写,不<span style="color: black;">表率</span>本集团观点,欢迎赞同+关注。</p>
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